Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.256413 0.301738 0.349986 0.404892 0.465365 0.529672 0.602958
2024-10-06 0.205322 0.268516 0.340338 0.426895 0.527283 0.639006 0.771693
2024-10-13 0.158116 0.230187 0.317536 0.428560 0.563339 0.719226 0.910700
2024-10-20 0.123650 0.200488 0.299608 0.431920 0.599125 0.798936 1.051242
2024-10-27 0.101123 0.181753 0.291943 0.445509 0.646281 0.892715 1.210847
2024-11-03 0.083858 0.166820 0.286606 0.460231 0.694119 0.987866 1.374171
2024-11-10 0.069781 0.153724 0.281585 0.473824 0.739883 1.080868 1.536560
2024-11-17 0.053912 0.134231 0.264384 0.468164 0.758497 1.138580 1.655008
2024-11-24 0.043741 0.122158 0.256532 0.474415 0.792481 1.216189 1.799639
2024-12-01 0.033400 0.107023 0.241545 0.468232 0.807859 1.268619 1.911909
2024-12-08 0.023777 0.090245 0.221184 0.451513 0.806422 1.297300 1.992562
2024-12-15 0.019309 0.083611 0.217539 0.460397 0.841915 1.376521 2.141016
2024-12-22 0.013847 0.072496 0.204323 0.453063 0.853562 1.424008 2.249497
2024-12-29 0.011921 0.070502 0.208431 0.474809 0.909789 1.535076 2.445934
2025-01-05 0.008784 0.063185 0.200660 0.475391 0.933188 1.599928 2.580257
2025-01-12 0.006463 0.057173 0.194600 0.478258 0.959852 1.669640 2.722057
2025-01-19 0.005155 0.054261 0.194886 0.492357 1.004484 1.765899 2.901797
2025-01-26 0.004136 0.051889 0.196000 0.507823 1.051472 1.866121 3.088087
2025-02-02 0.003258 0.049466 0.196593 0.522174 1.096851 1.964558 3.272964
2025-02-09 0.002029 0.043335 0.186901 0.516021 1.108091 2.012464 3.387034
2025-02-16 0.001394 0.040063 0.183952 0.522633 1.140435 2.092044 3.546673
2025-02-23 0.000755 0.034905 0.174785 0.515990 1.149961 2.137220 3.657553
2025-03-02 0.000281 0.028656 0.160808 0.498102 1.139236 2.151051 3.723178